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一 | Applications for U.S. unemployment benefits fell to their lowest level in eight months last week as businesses continue to retain workers despite elevated interest rates meant to cool the economy and labor market.Jobless claim applications fell by 13,000 to 198,000 for the week ending Oct. 14, the Labor Department reported Thursday. That's the fewest since January and about 14,000 fewer than analysts expected.Jobless claim applications are considered a proxy for layoffs.Despite the low level of weekly first-time jobless benefit applications, the number of Americans remaining on the unemployment rolls — known as “continuing claims” — jumped to its highest level in three months.Overall, 1.73 million people were collecting unemployment benefits the week that ended Oct. 7, about 29,000 more than the previous week and the most since early July.Analysts suggested one reason why new applications for unemployment aid might be falling while the number of people who continue to receive benefits is rising: Though relatively few people are being laid off, those who are already unemployed may now be having a harder time finding new work.“That would be consistent with other recent anecdotal evidence, including the Beige Book yesterday, which noted that firms were hiring ‘less urgently’ and finding that the pool of available job candidates was expanding,” said Nancy Vanden Houten, an economist at Oxford Economics. That comports with recent data showing that more people have started looking for work again. In August, about 736,000 people re-entered the search for employment, boosting the unemployment rate from 3.5% to 3.8%, where it remains today. Only people who are actively looking for a job are counted as unemployed.Though the Federal Reserve opted to leave its benchmark borrowing rate alone at its most recent meeting, it is well into the second year of its battle to rein in persistent inflation. The central bank has raised its benchmark rate 11 times since March of 2022, with part of its goal to cool hiring and bring down wages. But the labor market has held up better than expected.In September, employers added 336,000 jobs, easily surpassing the 227,000 for August and raising the average gain for each of the past three months to a robust 266,000.In August, American employers posted a surprising 9.6 million job openings, up from 8.9 million in July and the first uptick in three months.Besides some layoffs early this year — mostly in the technology sector — companies have been trying to retain workers.Thursday's report also said that the four-week moving average of claims — which flattens out some of the week-to-week volatility — ticked down by 1,000 to 205,750.。

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三 | 如果换算成增加的话,每升可以减少0.3元左右。当然,届时是否会下调还要等待国际油价走势的结果。

四 | 消息面,全球关注美联储9月利率会议即将召开,市场预计美联储将“积极加息”75个基点。一方面,这将加强美元指数,对以美元计价的国际大宗商品价格构成压力;另一方面,美联储将继续加息,这将使市场担心全球经济将陷入衰退的泥潭,进而影响能源需求,从需求端打压油价。在国际油价走势的后期,我们需要关注两个方面。一方面,欧佩克+是否会再次减产。沙特方面表示对国际油价跌破100美元/桶表示不满,尤其不能接受国际油价跌破90美元/桶。

五 | 分析师预计,如果国际油价继续下跌,欧佩克+将进一步减产。

六 | 另一方面,“NordStream-1”的恢复,因为“NordStream-1”对欧盟的天然气供应至关重要,在俄罗斯关闭“NordStream-1”后,欧盟天然气价格飙升,这将推动燃料需求,进而支撑国际油价。对于国内消费者而言,油价的持续飙升和出行费用的大幅上涨,也给全社会的通胀带来了巨大压力。因此,国际油价的下跌也备受消费者期待。

七 | 再来看看全国31个地区的92号和95号汽油价格(仅供参考,单位为人民币/升,排名以92号汽油价格排序):1:海南(92#)9.53,(95#)10.13元/升。2:西藏(92#)9.29,(95#)9.83元/升。3:云南(92#)8.57,(95#)9.20元/升。

八 | 4:贵州(92#)8.55,(95#)9.04元/升。

九 | 5:四川(92#)8.51,(95#)9.10元/升。6:重庆(92#)8.48、(95#)8.96元/升。7:广西(92#)8.48、(95#)9.16元/升。8:广东(92#)8.44,(95#)9.14元/升。9:湖北(92#)8.44,(95#)9.03元/升。10:河南(92#)8.43,(95#)9.00元/升。11:北京(92#)8.42,(95#)8.97元/升。

十 | 12:天津(92#)8.42、(95#)8.89元/升。13:河北(92#)8.42、(95#)8.89元/升。14:Gansu(92#)8.42,(95#)8.99yuan/liter.15:Liaoning(92#)8.40,(95#)8.95yuan/liter.16:Shandong(92#)8.40,(95#)9.02yuan/liter.17:Jiangsu(92#)8.39,(95#)8.92yuan/liter.18:Zhejiang(92#)8.39,(95#)8.92yuan/liter.19:Fujian(92#)8.38,(95#)8.95yuan/liter.20:Jiangxi(92#)8.38,(95#)8.99yuan/liter.21:Jilin(92#)8.38,(95#)9.04yuan/liter.ThisarticleisoriginalbytheauthorofYidian,andmaynotbereproducedwithoutauthorization返回搜狐,查看更多责任编辑:

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